The Borussia Mönchengladbach Files
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Predictions

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Next Match
Freiburg vs Gladbach
Kickoff
Sat 12 Sept, 13:30
Oracle
57.1% / 22.4% / 20.5%
Akte Gladbach — Club-Dossier Borussia Mönchengladbach
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Gladbach's win probability against Freiburg?
The Pinnacle Oracle calculates 20.5% win probability for Gladbach (away).
Where does Gladbach stand in the table?
Gladbach are 17th with 0 points after 2 matchdays. Goal difference: -4.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Gladbach's probability come from — and what moves it?

Freiburg vs Gladbach · Sat, 09/12, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home76%
Draw24%
Away0%

Gladbach: 0%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • 🟡 Gladbach away 0.0pp
Home75.6%
Draw23.9%
Away0.5%

Gladbach: 0.5% (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home57.1%
Draw22.4%
Away20.5%

Gladbach: 20.5%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: -20.0pp — Pipeline model sees Gladbach weaker than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Source: Pinnacle via TheOddsAPI · Updated: Wed 9 Sept, 12:00

Freiburg vs Gladbach Sat 12 Sept, 13:30
Freiburg 57.1% 1.69
Draw 22.4% 4.30
Gladbach 20.5% 4.71
Spread Gladbach +0.75 @ 2.04
Total O/U 3 @ 1.91 / 1.98
Margin: 3.66%
Gladbach vs Mainz Sat 19 Sept, 13:30
Gladbach 34.1% 2.79
Draw 25.4% 3.75
Mainz 40.5% 2.35
Spread Gladbach +0.25 @ 1.80
Total O/U 3 @ 1.89 / 1.94
Margin: 5.06%

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 2

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 BVB 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Elversberg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Mainz 2 1 1 0 +5 4
6 Bayern 2 1 1 0 +4 4
7 Leverkusen 2 1 0 1 +3 3
8 Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Werder 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Koeln 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Paderborn 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Eintracht 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Schalke 04 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Union 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Gladbach 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 HSV 2 0 0 2 -7 0