The Borussia Mönchengladbach Files
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Predictions

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Next Match
Gladbach vs Mainz
Kickoff
Sat 19 Sept, 13:30
Oracle
32.2% / 25.4% / 42.4%
Akte Gladbach — Club-Dossier Borussia Mönchengladbach
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Gladbach's win probability against Mainz?
The Pinnacle Oracle calculates 32.2% win probability for Gladbach (home).
Where does Gladbach stand in the table?
Gladbach are 17th with 0 points after 3 matchdays. Goal difference: -9.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Gladbach's probability come from — and what moves it?

Gladbach vs Mainz · Sat, 09/19, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home4.9%
Draw24%
Away71.1%

Gladbach: 4.9%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • 🟡 Gladbach home 0.0pp
Home4.9%
Draw24%
Away71.1%

Gladbach: 4.9% (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home32.2%
Draw25.4%
Away42.4%

Gladbach: 32.2%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: -27.3pp — Pipeline model sees Gladbach weaker than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Source: Pinnacle via TheOddsAPI · Updated: Wed 16 Sept, 12:00

Gladbach vs Mainz Sat 19 Sept, 13:30
Gladbach 32.2% 3.00
Draw 25.4% 3.81
Mainz 42.4% 2.28
Spread Gladbach +0.25 @ 1.90
Total O/U 3 @ 1.88 / 2.01
Margin: 3.44%

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 3

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Freiburg 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 BVB 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Augsburg 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Bayern 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Leipzig 3 2 0 1 +6 6
6 Elversberg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Leverkusen 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Mainz 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Eintracht 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Werder 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Koeln 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Paderborn 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Union 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 Gladbach 3 0 0 3 -9 0
18 HSV 3 0 0 3 -12 0